Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Scotland win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.