Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Congo win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Togo had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Congo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Togo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.