Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Togo had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.09%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Togo win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Namibia would win this match.