Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
