Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Montevideo City Torque.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
