Coverage of the European Under-21 Championship Group Stage clash between Italy Under-21s and Slovenia Under-21s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-21s win with a probability of 91.82%. A draw had a probability of 6.2% and a win for Slovenia Under-21s had a probability of 2.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.23%) and 2-0 (11.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.93%), while for a Slovenia Under-21s win it was 0-1 (0.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-21s would win this match.
