Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Empoli |
38.14% ( -0.34) | 27.61% ( 0.03) | 34.25% ( 0.32) |
Both teams to score 48.85% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.11% ( -0.06) | 56.89% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.19% ( -0.05) | 77.81% ( 0.04) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( -0.23) | 28.89% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( -0.28) | 64.76% ( 0.28) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.69% ( 0.18) | 31.31% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.34% ( 0.21) | 67.66% ( -0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Empoli |
1-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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