Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Sassuolo |
43.4% ( -0.22) | 24.68% ( 0.07) | 31.91% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 57.71% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.77% ( -0.29) | 45.22% ( 0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.43% ( -0.27) | 67.57% ( 0.27) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.09% ( -0.22) | 20.91% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.36% ( -0.34) | 53.63% ( 0.34) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.96% ( -0.05) | 27.04% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.6% ( -0.06) | 62.4% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 43.4% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |