Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Salernitana |
52.09% ( 1.06) | 25.77% ( -0.13) | 22.14% ( -0.94) |
Both teams to score 46.54% ( -0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.89% ( -0.36) | 56.11% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.82% ( -0.3) | 77.18% ( 0.29) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.4% ( 0.3) | 21.6% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.3% ( 0.47) | 54.69% ( -0.47) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.36% ( -1.13) | 40.64% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.77% ( -1.03) | 77.23% ( 1.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.07% Total : 52.08% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.27% Total : 22.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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