Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fiorentina in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Torino |
60.15% ( -0.53) | 22.73% ( -0.08) | 17.13% ( 0.6) |
Both teams to score 47.52% ( 1.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% ( 1.23) | 50.73% ( -1.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% ( 1.08) | 72.63% ( -1.08) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.52% ( 0.25) | 16.48% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.81% ( 0.45) | 46.19% ( -0.45) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.89% ( 1.5) | 43.11% ( -1.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.62% ( 1.24) | 79.38% ( -1.24) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 60.13% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 71 | 14 | 57 | 76 |
2 | AC Milan | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 62 |
3 | Juventus | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 44 | 23 | 21 | 59 |
4 | Bologna | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 54 |
5 | Roma | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 51 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 47 |
7 | Napoli | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 45 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 43 |
9 | Lazio | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 43 |
10 | Monza | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Torino | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 41 |
12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 34 |
13 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 28 |
14 | Udinese | 29 | 4 | 15 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 26 |
17 | Empoli | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 25 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 24 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 56 | -23 | 23 |
20 | Salernitana | 29 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 59 | -36 | 14 |
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