Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.