Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 45.3%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match.
