Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 42.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 28.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Gijon in this match.
