Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Cartagena had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 32.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.26%) and 1-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Cartagena win was 1-0 (13.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (15.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
