Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 20.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.37%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.75%), while for a Cartagena win it was 1-0 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
