Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Hearts |
28.94% | 26.27% | 44.78% |
Both teams to score 51.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.75% | 53.25% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.19% | 74.8% |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.84% | 33.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.24% | 69.76% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.31% | 23.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.2% | 57.79% |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.47% Total : 28.94% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 8.15% 1-3 @ 4.32% 0-3 @ 3.91% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 21 | 1 | 1 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 64 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 53 | 22 | 31 | 55 |
3 | Hearts | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 39 |
4 | Livingston | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 32 |
5 | Hibernian | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
6 | St Mirren | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 30 |
7 | Aberdeen | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 29 |
8 | St Johnstone | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 24 |
9 | Motherwell | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 20 |
11 | Ross County | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 35 | -17 | 20 |
12 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 20 |
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