Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rubin Kazan win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.