Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Setubal win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Setubal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Desportivo das Aves win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
