Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
