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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Burnley

With Wolves continuing to struggle for goals, it is difficult to back Lage's side with any level of certainty. With that in mind, we are going to predict a low-scoring draw, Burnley benefitting from their fresher legs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
49.74%27.66%22.6%
Both teams to score 42.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.91%62.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.2%81.8%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77%25.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03%59.97%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.38%43.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.19%79.81%
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 49.73%
    Burnley 22.6%
    Draw 27.65%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 15.15%
2-0 @ 10.43%
2-1 @ 8.66%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-1 @ 3.98%
4-0 @ 1.65%
3-2 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 49.73%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 11%
2-2 @ 3.59%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 9.13%
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 3.79%
1-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.05%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.6%

How you voted: Wolves vs Burnley

Wolverhampton Wanderers
69.9%
Draw
17.0%
Burnley
13.1%
206
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2021 12pm
Wolves
0-4
Burnley
Wood (15', 21', 44'), Westwood (85')
Tarkowski (39'), Traore (39'), Lowton (42')
Dec 21, 2020 5.30pm
Burnley
2-1
Wolves
Barnes (35'), Wood (51')
Westwood (36'), Rodriguez (90+4')
Silva (89' pen.)
Otasowie (45+1')
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Wolves
Coady (2' og.), McNeil (77')
McNeil (67')

Neves (93')

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