Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
38.09% ( -0.02) | 26.32% | 35.59% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 53.11% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% ( 0.01) | 51.58% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% ( 0.01) | 73.37% ( -0) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.6% ( -0) | 26.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.45% ( -0.01) | 61.55% ( 0.02) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.15% ( 0.02) | 27.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.55% ( 0.02) | 63.45% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
> Premier League Full Table |