Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Nottingham Forest | 2 | -1 | 3 |
11 | Bournemouth | 2 | -2 | 3 |
12 | Liverpool | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester City | 2 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Arsenal | 2 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Brentford | 2 | 4 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Arsenal |
22.86% ( -0.41) | 23.34% ( -0.28) | 53.8% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 54.7% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.24% ( 0.78) | 45.76% ( -0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.92% ( 0.74) | 68.08% ( -0.73) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.85% ( 0.06) | 34.15% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.16% ( 0.06) | 70.84% ( -0.06) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( 0.54) | 16.94% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.99% ( 0.94) | 47.01% ( -0.94) |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Arsenal |
1-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 22.86% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.34% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.8% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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