Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 1-0 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
