Chelmsford City 1-2 Oxford City - National League South - February 26, 2022 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Feb 26, 2022 at 3pm UK at Melbourne Stadium

Chelmsford City

1 - 2

Oxford City

Blackwell (10')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ashby (38'), McEachran (79')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Oxford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 42.03%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Oxford City
31.5%	26.47%	42.03%

Both teams to score 51.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96%

53.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37%

74.63%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79%

31.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45%

67.54%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.04%

24.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.4%

59.59%

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 31.5%

Oxford City 42.02%

Draw 26.47%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 9.07% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.05% 3-2 @ 1.98% Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.5%	1-1 @ 12.58% 0-0 @ 7.79% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.47%	0-1 @ 10.8% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.5% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.02%