Oxford City 4-1 Chelmsford City - National League South - February 13, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Feb 13, 2021 at 3pm UK at Marsh Lane

Roberts (13', 32'), Bradbury (28', 54')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Jackson (90+2')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Chelmsford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Chelmsford City
55.1%	22.54%	22.36%

Both teams to score 56.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.23%

42.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.83%

65.17%

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.58%

15.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.75%

44.25%

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.06%

32.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.49%

69.52%

Score Analysis

Oxford City 55.1%

Chelmsford City 22.36%

Draw 22.54%

Oxford City	Draw	Chelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.86% 1-0 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 6.14% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.87% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.07% 5-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 55.1%	1-1 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 5.47% 0-0 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.54%	1-2 @ 5.86% 0-1 @ 5.64% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.38% Total : 22.36%