Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.93%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
62.57% | 20.93% | 16.5% |
Both teams to score 51.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.7% | 44.29% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.33% | 66.67% |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% | 13.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.34% | 40.66% |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.95% | 40.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.3% | 76.69% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
1-0 @ 10.85% 2-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 6.61% 4-0 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 3.3% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.93% Total : 62.56% | 1-1 @ 9.93% 0-0 @ 5.43% 2-2 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.93% | 0-1 @ 4.97% 1-2 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.27% 1-3 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.94% Total : 16.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 63 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 53 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 46 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 42 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 36 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 63 |
2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 53 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 50 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 46 |
5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 42 |
6 | Orlando City | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 42 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 9 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 41 |
8 | New England RevolutionNew England | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 36 |
10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 36 |
11 | Chicago Fire | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 35 |
12 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Toronto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 34 |
14 | DC United | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 27 |