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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
30.11% ( 0.09) | 25.4% ( -0) | 44.49% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.88% ( 0.05) | 49.12% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% ( 0.05) | 71.19% ( -0.05) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.82% ( 0.09) | 30.18% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.67% ( 0.1) | 66.33% ( -0.11) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( -0.02) | 22.05% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.61% ( -0.03) | 55.39% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Houston Dynamo | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.11% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 32 |
3 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 |
4 | New England RevolutionNew England | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Orlando City | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 26 |
8 | DC United | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Toronto | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 18 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 17 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 29 |
2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 26 |
4 | Dallas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 26 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 26 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 22 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 20 |
10 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 20 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |