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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 55.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
55.51% ( -0.11) | 24.14% ( 0.04) | 20.36% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 48.82% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.13% ( -0.08) | 51.87% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.38% ( -0.07) | 73.62% ( 0.07) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( -0.07) | 18.56% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.18% ( -0.12) | 49.82% ( 0.13) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.95% ( 0.03) | 40.05% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.3% ( 0.03) | 76.7% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.31% Total : 20.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 44 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 38 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 37 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 34 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 34 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 32 |
7 | Orlando City | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 31 |
8 | DC United | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 26 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 26 |
10 | New York City FCNY City | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 24 |
12 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 23 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Toronto | 21 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 35 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 32 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 32 |
4 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 30 |
5 | Dallas | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 27 |
8 | Austin FCAustin | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 25 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 24 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 24 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 22 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 16 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 14 |