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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 18.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.38%).
Result | ||
Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
59.87% ( 0.01) | 21.81% ( -0.01) | 18.32% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.65% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.96% ( 0.01) | 45.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.61% ( 0.01) | 67.39% ( -0) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( 0.01) | 14.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.24% ( 0.01) | 42.76% ( -0.01) |
Houston Dynamo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.68% ( -0.01) | 38.32% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.92% ( -0.01) | 75.08% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Austin FC | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-0 @ 10.35% 2-1 @ 9.93% 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.47% 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 43 |
2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 36 |
3 | Nashville SCNashville | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 35 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 31 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 35 | 2 | 29 |
7 | Orlando City | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 28 |
8 | DC United | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 26 |
9 | CF MontrealMontreal | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 26 |
10 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 24 |
11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 23 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 23 |
13 | New York City FCNY City | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 21 |
14 | Toronto | 20 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 37 | 24 | 13 | 32 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 32 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 29 |
4 | Houston DynamoHouston | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 27 |
5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 27 |
7 | Dallas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 26 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 25 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
11 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 21 |
12 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 21 |
13 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 14 |