Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Metz had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.78%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Metz win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.