Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Metz had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.