Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 68.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Metz had a probability of 12.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.5%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Metz |
68.09% | 19.55% | 12.35% |
Both teams to score 45.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.09% | 46.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.83% | 69.17% |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.25% | 12.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.99% | 39% |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.36% | 47.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.04% | 82.96% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Metz |
2-0 @ 12.88% 1-0 @ 12.5% 2-1 @ 9.55% 3-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 6.56% 4-0 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.43% 5-0 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.39% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.85% Total : 68.08% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 0-0 @ 6.07% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.66% Total : 19.55% | 0-1 @ 4.5% 1-2 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.74% Total : 12.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Clermont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | MonacoMonaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | NantesNantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Troyes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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