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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
40.89% | 25.28% | 33.83% |
Both teams to score 56.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.68% | 47.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.46% | 69.54% |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77% | 23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.2% | 56.8% |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% | 26.86% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% | 62.17% |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 8.77% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.27% 3-2 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 5.77% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.12% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.34% 1-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 74 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 69 |
3 | Stevenage | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 67 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 58 | 36 | 22 | 66 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 32 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Salford City | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 62 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 37 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 61 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 58 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 56 |
10 | BarrowBarrow | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 55 |
11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 49 | 43 | 6 | 51 |
12 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 49 |
14 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 49 |
15 | Grimsby Town | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 48 |
16 | AFC Wimbledon | 39 | 11 | 13 | 15 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 46 |
17 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 44 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 43 |
19 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 42 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 37 | 9 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 38 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 37 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 37 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 38 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 32 |
24 | Rochdale | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 26 |
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