Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
