Port Vale
1 - 0
Swindon
Port Vale win 6-5 on penalties
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 0-3 Port Vale
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two
Saturday, May 28 at 4pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Northampton Town | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Swindon (6-5 pen.)
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
Thursday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Port Vale | 46 | 21 | 78 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 46 | 23 | 77 |
| 7 | Mansfield Town | 46 | 15 | 77 |
We said: Port Vale 1-2 Swindon Town (Swindon to win 4-2 on aggregate)
Back on home territory, Port Vale will fancy their chances of turning things around to earn a spot in the final. However, we cannot ignore Swindon's recent winning streak, a run of results which should provide them with the confidence to move closer to promotion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Swindon Town |
37.55% ( 0.37) | 26.05% ( -0.72) | 36.4% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 54.06% ( 2.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
