Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
