Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
