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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
32.14% | 25.96% | 41.9% |
Both teams to score 53.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% | 50.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.38% | 72.63% |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% | 29.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% | 65.65% |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% | 23.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% | 58.23% |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 8.65% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.14% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 7.24% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.55% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.9% Total : 41.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 45 | 28 | 89 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 88 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 87 |
4 | Barnsley | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 82 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 73 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 72 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 72 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 68 |
9 | Portsmouth | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 65 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 58 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 56 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 54 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 49 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 41 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 27 |
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