Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Italy1 - 2England
Reaction
Harry Kane's record-breaking England goals in numbers
Following Harry Kane's record-breaking 54th England goal, Sports Mole takes a look at the key numbers behind the 29-year-old's historic tally.
Mar 24, 09:33
Harry Kane: 'Breaking England record means everything to me'
England captain Harry Kane opens up on a "magical moment" after breaking Wayne Rooney's all-time goalscoring record for the Three Lions.
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Roberto Mancini: 'Italy deserved a draw against England'
Italy manager Roberto Mancini believes a draw against England would have been a fair result, despite their 2-1 home loss in their opening Euro 2024 qualifier on Thursday.
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Harry Kane becomes England's all-time record goalscorer
Harry Kane becomes England's all-time record goalscorer, surpassing Wayne Rooney with a 54th strike during their Euro 2024 qualifier against Italy.
Mar 23, 20:30
The Match
Match Report
Ten-man England hold on to beat Italy 2-1 thanks to Harry Kane's record-breaking 54th Three Lions goal.
Team News
Bukayo Saka and Kalvin Phillips are named in the starting lineup for England's Euro 2024 qualifier with Italy.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Italy and England, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 Group C qualifier with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Austria 2-0 Italy
Sunday, November 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, November 20 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
| Current League A3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy | 6 | 1 | 11 |
| 2 | Hungary | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Germany | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | England | 6 | -6 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Italy had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a England win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Italy win was 1-0 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | England |
33.04% ( 2.63) | 28.36% ( 0.05) | 38.6% ( -2.68) |
| Both teams to score 46.44% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
