Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.