Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 56.42%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 22.43% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.9%) and 0-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
