Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and Newell's Old Boys.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarmiento would win this match.
