Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 53.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosario Central would win this match.
