Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.