Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hebei win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 28.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hebei win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hebei would win this match.
