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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stoke City |
37.52% ( -1.49) | 28.29% ( -0.36) | 34.19% ( 1.85) |
Both teams to score 46.83% ( 1.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.61% ( 1.51) | 59.39% ( -1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.23% ( 1.15) | 79.77% ( -1.15) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.51% ( -0.15) | 30.49% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.29% ( -0.18) | 66.71% ( 0.17) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.38% ( 2.07) | 32.62% ( -2.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.84% ( 2.26) | 69.16% ( -2.26) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.74) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.47) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.57) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.29% | 0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.29) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.65% Total : 34.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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