Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.