Reaction
Football Association charge Swansea City and Luton Town over melee
Jordon Garrick was sent off for raising his hand towards Luton's James Collins.
Jul 1, 15:20
Nathan Jones believes Luton will survive after Swansea win
James Collins netted the Hatters' winner in south Wales.
Jun 27, 16:53
The Match
Match Report
The hosts had Jordon Garrick sent off for aiming a punch at Collins late on.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 16.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 60.88% | 22.13% | 16.99% |
| Both teams to score 49.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
