Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.