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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 1
Jul 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Birmingham logo
Luton
0 - 0
Birmingham
FT

Bacuna (35'), Sanderson (50'), Woods (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 23 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Luton Town 1-0 Birmingham City

On paper, there appears to be little splitting these sides, but in reality they are two teams likely heading in different directions. We do not envisage many goals on Saturday, but the hosts should have enough about them to earn three points and get their season off to a winning start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw has a probability of 26.5% and a win for Birmingham City has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Birmingham City win it is 0-1 (8.43%).

Result
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
50.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 26.47% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.16% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 45.75% (0.279 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.26% (0.307 0.31)57.74% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52% (0.242 0.24)78.49% (-0.23700000000001 -0.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.116 0.12)23.03% (-0.112 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (0.17 0.17)56.85% (-0.164 -0.16)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.44% (0.27500000000001 0.28)40.57% (-0.27 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (0.246 0.25)77.17% (-0.241 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.36%
    Birmingham City 23.16%
    Draw 26.47%
Luton TownDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 12.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.34% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.037 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: Luton vs Birmingham

Luton Town
73.2%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
16.1%
56
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Luton
0-5
Birmingham

Rea (34')
Roberts (7'), Hogan (26', 47'), Gardner (84'), Aneke (88')
Roberts (4')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Luton
1-1
Birmingham
Pearson (37')
Rea (73')
Jutkiewicz (23' pen.)
Dean (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBurnley4629143873552101
4Middlesbrough462291584562875
5Coventry CityCoventry4618161258461270
6Sunderland4618151368551369
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46209175254-269
8Millwall461911165750768
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461812165953666
10Swansea CitySwansea461812166864466
11Watford461615155653363
12Preston North EndPreston461712174559-1463
13Norwich CityNorwich461711185754362
14Bristol City461514175556-159
15Hull City461416165161-1058
16Stoke CityStoke461411215554153
17Birmingham CityBirmingham461411214758-1153
18Huddersfield TownHuddersfield461411214762-1553
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham461117184960-1150
20Queens Park RangersQPR461311224471-2750
21Cardiff CityCardiff461310234158-1749
RReading461311224668-2244
RBlackpool461111244872-2444
RWigan AthleticWigan461015213865-2742

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